Just as another New England state greenlit same sex marriage Wednesday, a new California poll released Wednesday found that Californians are roughly split on same sex marriage. (”When asked, ‘Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose allowing same — sex couples to be legally married,” 47 percent say favor and 48 percent say oppose. The poll was taken before last week’s CA Supreme Court decision affirming Proposition 8.
So dead even, in margin of error terms, said co-pollster David Binder.
“I’m not suprised,” said Charles Sheehan, co-director of the Alice B. Toklas LGBT Democratic Club. “It’s better than we were last fall.”
The poll was comissioned by a group of same sex marriage supporter groups as a way to help them figure out their next steps — like when to ask voters to vote again on the issue. Here’s what Binder and co-pollster Amy Simon found:
The 2012 Option:
“Higher turnout because of presidential election. But the pollsters “the additional voters that will come to the polls in a Presidential election are divided in their view of marriage for same-sex couples. Voters that will only turn out in a 2012 scenario are divided between younger voters who strongly support same-sex marriage and older Anglo, Latino and African American religious voters who are opposed to marriage for sameâ€sex couples.”
“While our modeling does indicate that 2012 will provide an extra 1-2 points of support for a marriage equality ballot measure, this difference may be impacted by many other factors in the larger political landscape at that time,” say the pollsters.
The 2010 Option: “It is likely that the Democratic nominee for Governor in 2010 will be an advocate of marriage equality, which would provide a high level spokesperson for the issue. In 2012, there is more uncertainty about the stance that President Obama may have on a marriage equality ballot measure during his expected re-election campaign.”
Nonetheless, reps from some of the groups anticipated to lead the next same sex marriage ballot initiative sound like they’re leaning toward 2010. Polls conducted by both Equality California and Courage Campaign have overwhelmingly said their supporters want to go to the ballot in 2010. Over the next month — in an effort called the “Get Engaged Tour” — organizations supporting same sex marriage will ask their members their preference.
Posted By: Joe Garofoli (Email) | June 03 2009 at 04:54 PM
See Poll: CA split on same sex marriage/Ballot measure for 2010 …
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“We are pleased that the
Court of Appeal did the right thing for Ms. Somers and recognized her right to change her
birth certificate,” said Ms. Wertz. “No one who is born in California should be denied the opportunity to change their
birth certificate simply because they are
transgender and have moved out of state. Ms. Somers can now rest assured that her birth record will always reflect who she truly is, a right that all
people born in California enjoy. This is a
landmark victory for
transgender people all over the country.”
“I brought this
petition because I did not feel that my transition would be complete until my
birth certificate showed who I am. Everybody in my life accepts me for who I am, and I wanted to make sure my officials records did too,” said Ms. Somers. “I am extremely happy about this
victory and grateful for all the work that TLC has done on my behalf.”
The decision also represents a
victory for older
transgender people. “It is courageous for a person at any age to fight for their identity. But to have a
woman at the age of 67 seek recognition in
two states to have her
gender identity acknowledged takes remarkable
bravery,” said Karen Taylor, Director of Advocacy &
amp; Training at Services &
amp; Advocacy for GLBT Elders (SAGE). “SAGE has many
constituents who spent
decades hiding who they were, living under terrible oppression and
fear. We understand and celebrate the
courage of all older
adults who dare to step forward and demand to be acknowledged for who they are. Ms. Somers is an
inspiration to all who seek justice and
equal treatment, at any age.”
The decision, Somers v.
Superior Court, is currently available on the court’s website
www.courtinfo.ca.gov/opinions/documents/A123445.pdf.
-30-
Equality California (
EQCA) is the largest statewide
lesbian,
gay,
bisexual,
transgender-rights advocacy
organization in California. In the past
decade,
EQCA has strategically moved California from a state with extremely limited
legal protections for
LGBT individuals to a state with some of the most comprehensive civil-rights protections in the nation.
EQCA has passed over 50 pieces of
legislation and continues to advance
equality through legislative advocacy, public
education and community empowerment.
www.eqca.org The
Transgender Law Center (TLC) is a
civil rights organization advocating for
transgender communities. TLC uses direct legal services,
education, community organizing, and advocacy to transform California into a state that recognizes and supports the needs of
transgender people and their families.
www.transgenderlawcenter.org
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